With close to a foot of snow from the past two storms since Saturday, a much harder punch is about to be delivered to Maryland and the rest of the Mid Atlantic region. This active jet stream and El Nino winter are proving to be a great combination for snow lovers, and trouble for forecasters. It is easy for some to sit on their couch and call for a ton of snow, than going on TV and committing to tens of thousands of people. Too many times a storm looked perfect, but one ingredient or the storm track changed at the last minute to bust the forecast. So the responsibility and repercussions for professional forecasters are much greater as businesses and livelihoods are planned accordingly.
So as this major storm bears down upon us, the hype has spread across the internet from weather hobbyists, while the professionals have played it a little more conservatively. Case in point, two models this morning both came out with a big snow storm. One would be a classic winter storm, while the other would be historic. What is the difference? Well take your pick from a 10-20 incher, or over 30 inches as seen in the snowfall meteogram below… As much as us snow lovers want to believe the computer model with the heaviest snow, it is not responsible to ignore the chance of a more realistic storm or potential mixing with sleet and freezing rain as the storm track could shift north at the last minute. Check out the models in the slide show below to see some of what has been available to look at. Plese note that there is much more information to digest, but I could be writing that up longer than it would take for the next round of computer models to arrive.
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